4
Unbridled Justice
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 65
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |