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10

Morocco Topo

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 73

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS5/09C6C6 @ Delaware Park 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 67 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 67 par17/09C6OR 67projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Delaware Park?4th1st+3
2026-09-05Monmouth Park?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0917/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +70.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
17/09/20264th20/10%63%+0.63