15
Darrens Delight
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 69
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |