8
Fiveclocksomewhere
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 20/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 27/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |