17
Kool Kay
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 66
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-08-20 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |