12
Phoebeinwonderland
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 82
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 4-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 09/01/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 06/08/2026 | 10th | 9/4 | 88% | 10% | -0.78 |