IvyArcIvyArc
6

Precious Sight

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 66

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#15

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 16/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 11916/01C9C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 24/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 63 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 63 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 66 · 7f 119 · below its mark25/02/2026 · OR 66 par25/02C9OR 66C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 61 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 61 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 12/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 66 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 66 par12/04C8OR 66C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 72 par1/05C8OR 72C7 @ Delaware Park 29/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 70 · 6f 118 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 70 par29/05C7OR 70projClass-projected finish: 16th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-29Delaware Park?6th6th0
2026-05-01Tampa Bay Downs?5th6th−1
2026-04-22Tampa Bay Downs?6th6th0
2026-04-12Tampa Bay Downs?6th7th−1
2026-03-15Tampa Bay Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-02-25Tampa Bay Downs?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0115/031/0529/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 14-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20268th25/10%22%+0.22
24/01/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
25/02/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
15/03/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
12/04/20266th13/266%29%-0.37
22/04/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
01/05/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
29/05/20266th25/10%0%0.00