16
Radar Loop
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 78
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Meadowlands | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 7-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 20/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |