1

Roberta
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 11-17 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 31/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |