4
Saucy Six
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 83
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 15-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 16/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |