9
Savanasrioguerrera
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 73
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#16
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 4-17 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |