6
Double Edge Sword
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 95
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
86%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2024 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 11/09/2024 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |