8
Float On
8yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 86
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |