2
Heaven Street
7yo Horse · 8-10 · OR 88
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 11/10 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |