3
Just For The Money
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 71% | -0.20 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |