Laddie Dance

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength14%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: -0.3

Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-11	Laurel Park	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-08-27	Delaware Park	?	4th	5th	−1	4.8
2026-07-16	Delaware Park	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-06-26	Laurel Park	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-05-31	Laurel Park	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-05-09	Laurel Park	?	9th	9th	0	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%

▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength30%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
06/02/2026	2nd	8/1	58%	86%	+0.28
27/02/2026	3rd	5/4	93%	60%	-0.33
22/03/2026	7th	14/1	26%	25%	-0.01
09/05/2026	9th	12/1	37%	11%	-0.26
31/05/2026	7th	12/1	37%	25%	-0.12
26/06/2026	1st	15/2	61%	100%	+0.39
16/07/2026	2nd	9/4	88%	80%	-0.08
27/08/2026	4th	9/2	76%	57%	-0.19
11/09/2026	5th	12/1	37%	33%	-0.04