Magicnthemoonlight
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 97
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-21 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-01-04 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-05-17 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2023 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 09/02/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/04/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 17/05/2024 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 07/06/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 04/01/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 21/02/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |