9
Triple Pass
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 101
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |