Amedeus Music
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2024 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 23/01/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 21/03/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 18/06/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 23/07/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |