9

Be Here

8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 86

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turfway Park 23/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 98 · 1m 121 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 98 par23/01C8OR 98C8 @ Turfway Park 19/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 107 · 6f 120 · beat its mark19/02/2026 · OR 107 parC6 @ Turfway Park 06/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 96 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 96 par6/03C6OR 96C7 @ Turfway Park 25/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 98 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/03/2026 · OR 98 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 98 · 6f 118 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 98 par25/04C8OR 98C8 @ Churchill Downs 14/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 97 · 7f 118 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 97 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 95 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 95 par18/06C8OR 95C7 @ Colonial Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 92 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 89 · 7f110y Fas 124 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 89 par29/08C8OR 89projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2026-08-14Colonial Downs?7th6th+1
2026-06-18Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-05-14Churchill Downs?7th7th0
2026-04-25Churchill Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-03-25Turfway Park?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0125/0318/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength5%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20264th11/486%73%-0.13
19/02/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
06/03/20265th25/10%33%+0.33
25/03/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
25/04/20263rd8/158%67%+0.09
14/05/20267th8/158%25%-0.33
18/06/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67
14/08/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
29/08/20265th4/179%43%-0.36