Hoodlum
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 86
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 82% | -0.08 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |