12
Mo Rewards
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 93
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 24/01/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 15/03/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |