Take Me To Church
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 96
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Meadowlands | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 19/05/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 10/09/2025 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 25/09/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |