4

Tap Em

7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 83

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mountaineer 12/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 91 · 7f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 91 par12/08C5OR 91C8 @ Mountaineer 28/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 89 · 7f110y Fm 123 · below its mark28/08/2025 · OR 89 parC8 @ Mountaineer 07/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m70y Fm 123 · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 86 par7/09C8OR 86C7 @ Mountaineer 17/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 90 · 7f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Mountaineer 13/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 88 par13/10C8OR 88C5 @ Mountaineer 12/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Mountaineer 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 84 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 84 par2/06C7OR 84C8 @ Mountaineer 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Mountaineer 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 1m 124 · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 82 par5/08C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-07-27Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-06-02Mountaineer?4th3rd+1
2026-05-12Mountaineer?6th3rd+3
2025-10-13Mountaineer?5th5th0
2025-09-17Mountaineer?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0817/092/065/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
28/08/20255th9/153%50%-0.03
07/09/20255th10/382%43%-0.40
17/09/20255th10/147%20%-0.27
13/10/20255th14/126%20%-0.06
12/05/20266th33/10%0%0.00
02/06/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
27/07/20263rd5/287%71%-0.15
05/08/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19