Mad For Maddy
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 02/03/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 10/04/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 30/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 03/07/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |