3
Ivey My Love
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 62
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |