2

Digital Warfare

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 50

Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Maiden Plate (3-Year-Olds) · 7f 210y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

50/1, seventh of 11 in maiden at Fairview (7f, good to soft) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13227/02C8C8 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13210/04C8C8 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13222/05C8C8 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13212/06C8C8 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12611/09C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?7th7th0
2026-06-12Fairview?6th6th0
2026-05-22Fairview?4th4th0
2026-04-10Fairview?4th4th0
2026-02-27Fairview?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0210/0422/0512/0611/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength31%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
10/04/20264th40/10%40%+0.40
22/05/20264th40/10%25%+0.25
12/06/20266th50/10%17%+0.17
11/09/20267th25/10%40%+0.40