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Gimmeagamble

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 36

Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Maiden Plate (3-Year-Olds) · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Blinkered for 1st time, last of 8 in maiden (100/1) at Kenilworth (8f, good to soft) 49 days ago. Makes all weather debut. First run for yard after leaving P. Botha.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12618/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13224/05C8C8 @ Durbanville 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13214/07C8C8 @ Kenilworth 12/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12612/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Kenilworth?8th8th0
2026-07-14Durbanville?6th6th0
2026-05-24Kenilworth?8th8th0
2026-04-18Kenilworth?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0424/0514/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +11.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
24/05/20268th66/10%13%+0.13
14/07/20266th40/10%17%+0.17
12/08/20268th100/10%0%0.00