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4

Seattle Glow

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 65

Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Maiden Plate (3-Year-Olds) · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

73%

Place Prob

55%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

18/10, second of 7 in maiden at this course (7f) 47 days ago. Very much the one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 4f214y Std 12715/05C8C8 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 12717/07C8C8 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13231/07C8C8 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12614/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-07-31Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-07-17Fairview?4th4th0
2026-05-15Fairview?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0517/0731/0714/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20265th12/137%0%-0.37
17/07/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
31/07/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23
14/08/20262nd7/491%83%-0.07