6
Weekend In Aspen
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 58
Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Maiden Plate (3-Year-Olds) · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -85.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |