5
Harpa
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 32
Fairview · Racing Today Apprentice Open Maiden · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 28/01/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |