4
Lady Limoncello
5yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 60
Fairview · Racing Today Apprentice Open Maiden · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.31 |
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 59% | +0.11 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |