4
Detailed Forecast
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 65
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Fm 90 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 71% | -0.20 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |