2
Lady Bomber
5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 78
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Fm 90 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |