8
Lady Elliot
6yo Mare · 8-3 · OR 69
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Fm 90 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 07/05/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 13% | -0.72 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |