1
Lotus Silk
4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 82
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Fm 90 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 5/4 | 93% | 36% | -0.57 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 40% | -0.54 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |