7

White Waters
5yo Mare · 8-4 · OR 60
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Fm 90 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | ? | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 11th | 12th | −0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 9th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 03/02/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 20/03/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 10/04/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/04/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |