7

White Waters

5yo Mare · 8-4 · OR 60

Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Fm 90 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Latest win here in July. 7/2, seventh of 9 in handicap at this course (6.5f) 40 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 10/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12710/10C8C8 @ Fairview 14/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 6f211y Std 132C6 @ Fairview 09/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1199/01C6C6 @ Fairview 03/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 119C6 @ Fairview 20/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12120/03C6C5 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 22/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f102y Std 13322/04C7C7 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 133C7 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f102y Std 13221/08C7projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Fairview?7th8th−1
2026-07-01Fairview?1st3rd−1
2026-04-22Fairview?11th12th−1
2026-04-10Fairview?13th12th+1
2026-03-20Fairview?11th12th−0
2026-02-03Fairview?9th9th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/103/0222/0421/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength14%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
14/11/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
09/01/20265th5/174%20%-0.54
03/02/20269th18/15%11%+0.06
20/03/202611th28/10%9%+0.09
10/04/202613th66/10%29%+0.29
22/04/202611th22/10%9%+0.09
01/07/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
21/08/20267th10/382%25%-0.57