5

Bandmaster

6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 61

Fairview · youcanbetonus! Mr 74 Handicap · 4f 214y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Blinkered for 1st time, won 8-runner handicap at this course (6f, 16/1) 12 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 23/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12823/09C8C0 @ Fairview 17/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 126C0 @ Fairview 05/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1265/11C?C7 @ Fairview 28/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 123C7 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS12/06C7C7 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 4f214y Std 12121/08C7C5 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 18/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 12718/09C7projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Fairview?1st2nd−0
2026-09-09Fairview?6th4th+2
2026-08-21Fairview?3rd3rd−0
2026-08-14Fairview?7th7th+0
2026-06-12Fairview?6th6th+0
2025-11-28Fairview?9th9th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0928/1121/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
17/10/20255th40/10%50%+0.50
05/11/20257th50/10%0%0.00
28/11/20259th50/10%27%+0.27
12/06/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
14/08/20267th22/10%25%+0.25
21/08/20263rd12/137%50%+0.13
09/09/20266th18/15%38%+0.32
18/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63