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Call Of The Karoo

4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 44

Fairview · youcanbetonus! Mr 74 Handicap · 4f 214y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

25/1, tenth of 11 in handicap at Scottsville (5f, good to soft) 59 days ago. First run for yard after leaving G. S. Kotzen. Uphill task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fairview 06/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f102y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS6/01C5C7 @ Fairview 13/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Scottsville 15/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 137 · HIGHER CLASS15/03C54 @ Greyville 29/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Greyville 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 138 · HIGHER CLASS24/0454 @ Scottsville 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Greyville 13/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS13/0644 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f103y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Scottsville 02/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/084projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Scottsville410th7th+3
2026-06-28Scottsville47th4th+3
2026-06-13Greyville49th6th+3
2026-05-17Scottsville43rd0th+3
2026-04-24Greyville52nd0th+2
2026-03-29Greyville47th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0129/0313/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/01/20266th11/486%17%-0.69
13/02/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
15/03/20261st28/10%100%+1.00
29/03/20267th10/382%14%-0.68
24/04/20262nd10/147%90%+0.43
17/05/20263rd10/147%83%+0.36
13/06/20269th25/10%27%+0.27
28/06/20267th16/116%60%+0.44
02/08/202610th16/116%10%-0.06