2
Honorine's Gimmie
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 77
Fairview · youcanbetonus! Mr 74 Handicap · 4f 214y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength62%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Fairview | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 24/12/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |