Wordsworth
9yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 60
Fairview · youcanbetonus! Mr 74 Handicap · 4f 214y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 10/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 08/05/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |