6
Forest Spy
7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 59
Fairview · Racing240 Middle Stakes · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength33%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 42% | -0.14 |
| 20/02/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |