7
French Flame
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 73
Fairview · Racing240 Middle Stakes · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength29%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 21/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |