5
Warofdynamite
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 85
Fairview · Racing240 Middle Stakes · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 15th | 17th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 03/04/2026 | 15th | 17/2 | 55% | 7% | -0.49 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |