7
Alado's Pride
9yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 59
Fairview · Tab 4Racing App Apprentice Classified Stakes · 1m 2f 206y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 12th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 53% | +0.48 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 24/07/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 14/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |