6
Global Drumbeat
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 47
Fairview · Tab 4Racing App Apprentice Classified Stakes · 1m 2f 206y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-14 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-04-24 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 22/12/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 16/01/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 23% | -0.48 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 10/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 31/07/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |