2
Sabrage
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 67
Fairview · Tab 4Racing App Apprentice Classified Stakes · 1m 2f 206y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -3.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-03-27 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 14th | −4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/03/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |
| 27/03/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |