3
The Mikado
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 57
Fairview · Tab 4Racing App Apprentice Classified Stakes · 1m 2f 206y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength61%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -11.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/04/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 18% | -0.37 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 45% | -0.10 |
| 21/08/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |