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6

Amanzimtexas

4yo Gelding · 9-3

Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 68 Handicap · 1m 1f 208y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when winning 6-runner minor event at this course (9.4f, 15/2) 26 days ago. Plenty to find on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 22/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12922/10C8C8 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 134C8 @ Fairview 27/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13227/03C8C8 @ Fairview 03/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132C8 @ Fairview 17/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Sft 13217/04C8C8 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Std 127C7 @ Fairview 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1263/07C7C5 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS4/09C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?1st-2th+3
2026-07-17Fairview?3rd0th+3
2026-07-03Fairview?7th7th0
2026-05-11Fairview?1st2nd−1
2026-04-17Fairview?10th11th−1
2026-04-03Fairview?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/103/043/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20259th22/10%0%0.00
27/02/20268th28/10%56%+0.56
27/03/20269th28/10%11%+0.11
03/04/20263rd33/10%83%+0.83
17/04/202610th25/10%10%+0.10
11/05/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
03/07/20267th25/10%50%+0.50
17/07/20263rd14/126%78%+0.51
04/09/20261st7/163%100%+0.37