4
Gimme The Truth
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 59
Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 68 Handicap · 1m 1f 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |